The Coalition needs an Abbott-proof fence



If you were to ask Malcolm Turnbull to tell you honestly what was his most demanding and persistent political problem, Tony Abbott would most likely be his answer.

We are well aware of the legislative issues Turnbull faces, and the exultation he exhibits when finally he achieves a success – the passage of Gonski 2.0 is a recent example. We know too that he has dissention among the hard right elements in his party room. Cory Bernardi has already abandoned the Liberal Party to establish his Australian Conservatives, but Turnbull still has Eric Abetz, Kevin Andrews, Ian Macdonald, Craig Kelly, Andrew Hastie, Chris Back, Rowan Ramsay, Angus Taylor, Tony Pasin, Michael Sukkar and Zed Seselja, regular irritants led by the pernicious and vengeful Tony Abbott.

But even without his henchmen, Abbott alone is a destructive force that bursts out into the open whenever an opportunity presents. If Abbott senses that he can make political capital out of anything that Turnbull does, or says, or proposes, he is out there shafting his leader.

How can he be stopped?

If you need any reminding, here are some media accounts of Abbott’s recent assaults on his leader:

In an article by Katharine Murphy in The Guardian on 24 February titled: The postie always rings twice: Abbott and Fahour give Coalition the smell of death, after dealing with the resignation of Ahmed Fahour’s from Australia Post, she gets to Tony Abbott after his unwanted intervention in the energy debate with these words:
“The right in Australian politics is currently hell-bent on consuming itself. Civil war keeps erupting before our very eyes.

“Tony Abbott dished it out to Malcolm Turnbull in a most extraordinary fashion, using a book launch to unveil a sweeping conservative manifesto for the next federal election, declaring the Coalition needs to cut immigration, slash the renewable energy target, abolish the Human Rights Commission, and gut the capacity of the Senate to be a roadblock to the government’s agenda.

“In a provocative speech that contained several pot shots at his successor, he warned that the government won’t win the next election unless it wins back the conservative base, declaring that “Politics can’t be just a contest of toxic egos or someone’s vanity project.”
Murphy goes on:
“His intervention was a precision strike against the man who took his job, with Newspoll in the field over the weekend, and federal parliament returning next week.

“Abbott wasn’t actually talking to the colleagues, which is probably wise, given many of them want to lock him in a cupboard and throw away the key.

“It was more vicious than a conventional party room courtship exercise.

“He looked over their heads, and spoke instead to the voters Malcolm Turnbull is currently intent on trying to woo back: white working-class voters in regional areas stranded at the fag end of the mining boom – the folks drifting dangerously in Hanson’s direction because they’ve had a gutful of the circus in Canberra.

“Abbott had one simple message for those people: the emperor has no clothes.

“He took the central pitch of Turnbull’s New Year strategy to put a floor under the Liberal party’s ebbing primary vote – the energy security offensive and the government’s big coal pivot (which resonates in the post mining boom regions) – and he demolished it.

“He said the government’s policy on climate and energy was an incoherent crock.

“Not content with yanking the rug out from under Turnbull and the government’s political ‘recovery’ strategy for 2017, Abbott then upped the ante in the political arms race for disaffected conservatives.

“He put immigration on the table. Apparently we need to cut immigration to help housing affordability – a complete nonsense, and incendiary to boot – but designed to hit the front bar ‘nod’ test. (“So that’s why I can’t afford a house. Bloody immigrants. Hogging Aussie houses.”)

“It’s a little fire you light in fractious times, and watch the embers burn. If voters have logged the substance of Abbott’s pitch, rather than just consumed it as colour and movement, his message will certainly resonate in some parts of the country, and it also reflects one view inside the government.

“The chairman of the government’s backbench committee on environment and energy, Craig Kelly, just to take one voice, agrees with most of what Abbott said on Thursday night, including the desirability of lowering the immigration rate.

“The Abbott 2.0 manifesto does, however, generate one obvious response for those of us still trying to reside in a fact-based universe: if this is the answer to what ails Australia, why didn’t you do it yourself? When you were ... you know ... the prime minister. With power.

“Abbott’s speech was, in a fact-based universe, mildly delusional, and almost entirely hypocritical. But as acts of rank political bastardry go, it was comprehensive.

“There is only one conclusion to take away from the performance, and that is that Abbott is hell-bent on Turnbull’s destruction, never mind the cost, never mind the casualties. If he can’t take him out in the party room because he’s a general without an army, then he will take him out with the conservative base, and drive a cleaver right through the heart of rightwing politics.

“If the political right shatters into shards, so be it. At one level it’s pure nihilism.”
In another article in the The Guardian, this one on 17 April, Gareth Hutchens begins:
"The former prime minister Tony Abbott has again spoken out publicly, urging the Turnbull government to make changes to reconnect with the electorate and offering a plan to stop Labor winning the next election.

“In an opinion piece in News Corp Australia tabloids, and in a follow-up interview on Sydney’s 2GB radio, he outlined measures to stop Labor’s momentum.

“We have to do something about housing affordability, and I think scaling back immigration until housing starts and infrastructure has caught up would be a good way of doing that,” he told 2GB.

“We’ve got to do something about political correctness, because we’ve got political correctness running riot in our country right now.”
In response, veteran Liberal MP Warren Entsch called on Abbott to shut up or quit after he again offered his views on the performance of the Turnbull government.

“He was going to step down graciously, he was going to serve in the best interests of the country but he was not going to do a running commentary, he was not going to be critical. Well it has been anything but that.”

Entsch said that Abbott’s actions were ‘reinforcing all the negative aspects of his time’ and seemed aimed at getting back at Malcolm Turnbull who ousted him from the prime ministership.

Abbott made it quite clear when he left office that he would not be a Kevin Rudd, that he would not provide a running commentary, he would positively contribute. He was very specific when he said that – and most of us believed him.

“But what he’s doing now is reinforcing all the negative aspects of his time. And if it continues like this, this will be his legacy – and he won’t be remembered fondly. He’ll just be seen as a wrecker, hell-bent on destroying an individual.”


Writing in news.com.au the next day, Malcolm Farr in an article titled: Why Tony Abbott wants Malcolm Turnbull to become his clone had this to say: 
”Tony Abbott isn’t after Malcolm Turnbull’s job but he does want a new entity in the Prime Minister’s office – a Tone Clone.

“Mr Abbott is seeking that marvel of the science of politics, a full body policy transplant. He wants an Abbott-like figure doing the things he attempted as leader and at times failed to implement, a figure indistinguishable from his current self apart from the physical presence.

“His explosive column in yesterday’s Daily Telegraph confirms previous reports that Mr Abbott had accepted he would not succeed Mr Turnbull – at least not before the next election – and his sensible view was that a leadership change would further wreck the government’s chances of being returned.

“All delivered with an offhand barb: “Of course people are disappointed with the government ...”

“He has told colleagues he fears a Coalition wipe-out in Queensland producing a national rout. The Abbott answer is for Mr Turnbull to adopt the policy clobber of Tony 2017 and be quick about it.

“This message has developed to uninterrupted background noise of comparisons between the Abbott government and the Turnbull venture, from Mr Abbott himself and surrogates ranging from Eric Abetz to Peta Credlin.”
Let’s jump to more recent Abbott interventions:

When the Finkel Review surfaced, there was Abbott ready to exploit any opportunity to counter its recommendations and criticise his nemesis.

Writing on 12 June in The Guardian in Tony Abbott fears Finkel's clean energy target could be 'a magic pudding', Katharine Murphy and Gareth Hutchens write: 
“Tony Abbott has declared that the new clean energy target proposed by the chief scientist, Alan Finkel, sounds like a 'magic pudding' and he says the Coalition must not adopt a new tax on coal.

“Ahead of a discussion of the Finkel recommendations by the Coalition party room on Tuesday, the former prime minister used his regular radio interview on 2GB to sound a warning about the reforms proposed by Finkel to the prime minister and the premiers last week.

“My anxiety listening to reports of the [Finkel] review, and this statement [that] they are going to reward low-emissions fuels while not punishing high-emissions fuels, is [that] it is going to be a magic pudding,” Abbott said on Monday.

“If you are rewarding one type of energy, inevitably, the money has got to come from somewhere – either consumers or taxpayers.

“If it is from consumers, it’s effectively a tax on coal, and that is the last thing we want.”
How can Turnbull keep this man at bay? Abbott never gives up. He is determined to undermine his leader every time he can.

Just a few weeks ago, Abbott was at it again, this time in the terrorism arena. An article in Crikey by Michael Bradley: Tony Abbott is helping the terrorists win Bradley begins:
"There’s a lot of competition these days for the title of Politician Most Likely to Exploit Terrorism in an Appalling Manner, what with Trump, Farage and Hanson all jumping on the latest London atrocity in a matter of minutes to demonstrate their particular brands of hate. Still, Tony Abbott remains special for his ability to combine clarity with idiocy.

“Abbott’s been all over the media since London, just being helpful you know. He has two Big Ideas this time: militarising Australia’s response to terrorist attacks, and creating special courts to deal with suspects. Not new ideas, but they approach the outer edge of a response structure, which would ensure that terrorism achieves its ends.

“Abbott wants the Australian Army to be ‘the lead agency’ in cases of ‘multiple or complex terrorist incidents’. The vagueness of his prescription is no surprise; the point is its apparent robustness. Not for Abbott any of the constitutional or operational complexities of sending in the troops to deal with what are, when the rhetoric is put aside, crimes of violence rather than acts of war.”
Of course, fervent Coalition promoter, retired General Jim Moylan, backed Abbott's bizarre ideas to the hilt!

Even last week Abbott was out again, this time calling Christopher Pyne disloyal and treacherous because he suggested at a private Liberal Party function that same sex marriage would pass parliament ‘sooner than we thought’. Abbott was also outraged that his delaying tactic of a plebiscite was under threat, forcing Turnbull into a hasty disclaimer.

Although still burning with anger about Christopher Pyne’s ‘revelation’ that he had never voted for Abbott (leaked to Andrew Bolt), he was in Brisbane the next day reiterating his alternative political manifesto at an Institute of Pubic Affairs event, as reported by James Massola in The Sydney Morning Herald
“He outlined three energy policy measures - freezing the renewable energy target at 15 per cent, a moratorium on new wind farms, and for the federal government to potentially go it alone and build a new coal-fired power station - to put downward pressure on power prices.

“He also called for immigration to be temporarily slashed to put downward pressure on house prices and upward pressure on wages, and advocated banning all new spending except on defence and infrastructure.

“Mr Abbott warned the Coalition can only win the next election if it draws up new political battlelines that will give the conservative side of politics something to fight for and, in a down-beat assessment of the nation, Mr Abbott said Australia "plainly, is not working as it should" and that "we are letting ourselves down".

“For conservatives: "our challenge is to stay the course, to keep the faith and to fight the good fight".
For his misdemeanour, Pyne is now being attacked ferociously by Abbott's conservative base, who are demanding nothing less than his removal from Turnbull's Ministry.

I could go on quoting example after example of Abbott’s treachery – my file on Abbott is loaded with examples, but these are enough.

Abbott sees himself as the protector of Abbott initiatives, of his own legacy, and of conservative values, and even if he can’t replace Turnbull, he wants at least to diminish him, embarrass him, humiliate him, and render him impotent, even if that results in the Coalition losing the next election, when the opportunity to oust him, and replace him, would arise.

Abbott’s venom towards Turnbull is inexhaustible. He flaunts it unremittingly.

But does Abbott realize what thin ice he's skating on? Has he got the electorate behind him? If he thinks so, he's seriously deluded! Of almost a thousand visitors to the AIMN blog site, 61% voted Abbott as the worst ever PM out of nine choices from Whitlam on! Only 19% voted Turnbull the worst.

How can Turnbull and his loyalists counter Abbott?

Whilst it might seem comical to suggest it, perhaps a hypothetical ‘Abbott-proof fence’ might do the job!

Like Trump, Turnbull's Coalition is unlikely to cough up the funds for such a fence! Crowd funding may be the only way.

Donations for its erection can be forwarded to the Prime Minister’s Office.
Contributions of $2 or over are tax deductible.





Comments (10) -

  • DoodlePoodle

    6/29/2017 2:01:48 PM |

    Ad, I Think this article I just read on ABC site fits with your article.

    Former Queensland premier Campbell Newman says Malcolm Turnbull should "do the right thing" and resign as Prime Minister to avoid another leadership showdown.

    Read the full story
    http://ab.co/2uklGus

  • lawrence windfer

    6/29/2017 4:49:36 PM |

    ...and now the MSM including the nobbled ABC are describing Truffles and his besieged band as the "left" of the ruling rabble. An odd description for someone who extols his free-market credentials at every turn.

  • Ad Astra

    6/29/2017 4:59:18 PM |

    Doodle Poodle
    Thank you for the link to Newman’s outburst.

    Obviously an Abbott man, but knowing he can’t topple Turnbull, Newman sees Turnbull’s resignation as the only solution:

    “Former Queensland premier Campbell Newman says Malcolm Turnbull should "do the right thing" and resign as Prime Minister to avoid another leadership showdown.

    “Speaking on ABC Radio Brisbane Mr Newman accused Mr Turnbull of dividing the Liberal Party, turning it left and driving away its base.

    “But he said voters would not tolerate a political move against an elected leader. "He can't be deposed — we can't have another execution," Newman said.


    www.abc.net.au/.../8662758

    Michelle Grattan, writing in The Conversation doesn’t hold back:

    Tony Abbott has thrown further fuel on the fire of anger against Christopher Pyne over his outburst of factional hubris, as the Liberals’ internal war rages.
    Abbott on Wednesday said he could “understand why some of my colleagues are saying that his position as leader of the house now seems difficult to maintain”.

    “He went on to point the finger at Malcolm Turnbull. “This as always is a matter for the prime minister. The prime minister picks the team, the prime minister decides what jobs people have got. And if Christopher Pyne is to be given some other assignment that would be a question for the prime minister.”
    Turnbull might feel like throttling the indiscreet Pyne but he won’t be stripping him of his house job. That sort of over-reaction would just make a bad situation worse.

    “The old guard, notably Abbott and his tiny band, know how to cause maximum disruption with minimum numbers. Abbott, who is determined to see the end of Turnbull’s leadership even if he can’t personally be the replacement, is out all this week – on Thursday he will make a speech about submarines to the Centre for Independent Studies…”


    Grattan concludes: “This week’s mini-crisis will likely have blown over by the time Turnbull leaves next week for Europe and the G20. But it has exposed his vulnerability in a fractious and divided party and sent the worst of messages to the electorate. And even when it is over, Abbott will still be on his case.

    theconversation.com/abbott-on-a-mission-to-destroy-is-stepping-up-his-stalking-of-turnbull-80230

    Take a look at Abbott’s face in the photo at the top of Grattan’s article!

    lawrence windfer
    The MSM is pursuing its own agenda. For the Murdoch media, getting rid of Turnbull, and if possible restoring Abbott, is its objective.

  • Ad Astra

    6/30/2017 11:35:01 AM |

    Folks
    Even some in the Murdoch media are getting stuck into Abbott. Writing in The Australian, in We are witnessing the cowardice at the heart of Abbott’s campaign, political correspondent David Crowe says:

    “The anger over Christopher Pyne’s remarks last Friday night was a sideshow compared to Abbott’s naked aggression towards the government.

    “The real story was the fact Pyne’s comments were leaked from a closed gathering of about 200 factional allies and given to Andrew Bolt to maximise the advantage for the conservatives and inflict the greatest damage on the government. The poison within the Liberal Party has reached such toxic levels there may be no cure.

    “It is brutality writ large,” one Liberal MP says of Abbott’s tactics. Some MPs believe this will continue until Abbott forces a challenge to replace Turnbull. Just as the government tries to talk up its victory on school funding, Abbott is there to denigrate the Gonski reforms. Turnbull has driven the government into Newspoll quicksand but Abbott has been there at every stage to make an escape impossible – breaking the shovels, hiding the winch.

    “Could Turnbull revive the government’s fortunes if Abbott were not undercutting every policy? If this week is any guide, nobody will ever know. The Liberal party room has a far bigger “apathy faction” than an Abbott support group. The AAA club — Abbott, Kevin Andrews and Eric Abetz — may have a handful of allies out of 83 federal Liberals on a good day, judging by estimates from MPs. Turnbull’s challenge is to convince pessimistic MPs that he has a plan to deal with Abbott and engineer a political recovery.

    “Abbott promises ‘something our people can fight for’ but his manifesto is a huge risk for the Liberals. He promises spending cuts that voters dislike, scrapping a renewable energy target that has majority support, and holding a referendum on Senate reform that would probably go down in flames.

    “His greatest appeal to jaded voters is his call to scale back immigration and get tough on jihadis. The man who took on Pauline Hanson two decades ago now copies her.

    “This is a plan to fight 2014 all over again, with another dead end in the Senate. It is the cry of a man consumed by the past. The result is likely to be irrelevance for Abbott and a disaster for the government.”


    If Murdoch journalists feel able to writ like this, where does that leave Abbott? On the wrong side of the Abbott-proof fence?

  • Ad Astra

    6/30/2017 3:55:20 PM |

    Folks
    Trenchant condemnation of Abbott by his colleagues continues.

    Writing in the 30 June issue The Guardian, in an article titled: Liberal senators round on Abbott, criticising him for trying to 'rewrite history', Gareth Hutchens says:

    ”The Liberal senator Concetta Fierravanti-Wells, a former one-time ally of Tony Abbott’s, has joined the defence minister Marise Payne in publicly rebuking Abbott for his latest undermining of Coalition policy.

    “She joins the growing pushback from Liberal moderates, including the social services minister, Christian Porter, who this week rubbished claims the Coalition government had lurched to the left under Malcolm Turnbull.

    “The Liberal party’s factional brawling has continued to spill into the open on Friday, sparked by a leaked recording of Christopher Pyne – revealed on the weekend – caught bragging to colleagues about the influence of the moderate faction in the government.”


    www.theguardian.com/.../liberal-senators-round-on-abbott-criticising-him-for-trying-to-rewrite-history

  • Ad Astra

    6/30/2017 4:24:42 PM |

    The criticism of the latest Abbott push to destabilize Turnbull continues:

    In an article in Crikey by Paula Matthewson: Tony Abbott's plan for revenge has gone horribly wrong, she writes:

    “This week’s new approach, while perhaps a bit too subtle for the fans of horse-race politics, is more problematic for Abbott because it weakens his key contention — that the Liberal Party and its base are predominantly conservative.

    “Any student of politics knows this claim is nonsense, but very few contemporary voters know the antecedents of their favoured political party. So it is significant that cabinet minister Peter Dutton and junior minister Angus Taylor — both touted as future conservative Liberal leaders — went out of their way this week to argue that moderates (or progressives) have a traditional and legitimate role within the Liberals.

    “In an interview on Sky News, Taylor noted the two streams of thought had always existed within the Liberal Party, and that there had to be recognition that “the factions had far more in common than what divides us”.

    “Taylor’s comments came just before another up-and-coming conservative and cabinet minister, Christian Porter, told Sky News that Pyne’s remarks had been “beaten up well beyond reasonable proportionality” and that Abbott’s contention that there was “some kind of shift to the left under the Turnbull government” was not sustained by “actually looking at the policy areas”. While this was not an acknowledgement of the legitimacy of moderates in the Liberal Party, Porter was nevertheless rejecting the Abbott camp’s rhetoric.

    “However, the most telling intervention from the pro-Turnbull conservatives this week came from Immigration Minister Peter Dutton, who in his regular chat with tabloid radio host Ray Hadley warned that “we need to move on before all of this [Pyne] stuff consumes us”.

    “In response to prompting from Hadley that the government needed an “awakening” that involved the purging of moderates from cabinet, Dutton countered that the success of John Howard during his time as prime minister was that he had “people from the left and the right” in his government, such as Peter Costello who was “accused of being from the left” but was nevertheless a “great treasurer”.

    “Dutton then pressed the point, saying he believed “the Liberal Party operates at its optimum when we do have a broad church, when we do have people across the spectrum”, and that it was good to have a diversity of views in cabinet because “you have a more rounded discussion” and better decisions as a result.

    “This subtle shift in rhetoric from conservatives in the Turnbull ministry might have been overlooked by reporters and commentators looking for the more obvious signs of conflict between the Liberal party’s factions.

    “But it won’t have been missed by Abbott. The same senior conservatives that he is trying to peel away from Turnbull because he’s a “moderate” are telling Abbott that moderates are their colleagues-in-arms and not the enemy. This means Abbott’s battle plan for revenge has gone seriously awry.”

  • Ad Astra

    6/30/2017 4:51:33 PM |

    Folks
    Even without inflicting more damage than he has done this week, it looks as if Abbott will kill off Turnbull’s prime ministership.

    Writing in news.com.au, Joe Hildebrand, in an article titled: Malcolm Turnbull in political death spiral says:

    “The words may have changed but the song remains the same: One year on from his disastrous cliff hanger election campaign, Malcolm Turnbull is being savaged on virtually every policy he produces.

    “Extraordinary data obtained by news.com.au reveals the Prime Minister, once the darling of the online world, is now so toxic that even his successes are overwhelmingly piled upon with scorn.

    “This is despite the fact the issues that decided the election just 12 months ago have been all but completely forgotten and replaced with new hot topics that are still killing the PM…

    “There were very few social posts generated by the public defending the Coalition,” …
    “The second biggest topic was the NBN, with more than 15,000 mentions in relation to the PM or the Coalition – an issue probably slightly over-represented given the online forum.

    “Yet once again the sentiment was staggeringly hostile to Turnbull, the former communications minister, with 45 per cent negative, 52 per cent neutral and just three per cent positive.

    “On both issues there was an almost complete lack of trust with the Coalition, linked back to Tony Abbott’s previous breaches of faith, with a recurring theme that “because the Coalition has a history of broken promises, there is no reason to trust Malcolm’s comments”.

    “And it is this that is still crippling Turnbull now: Even with an election win (albeit a threadbare one) and a big benevolent budget under his belt, the Prime Minister is caught in a political death spiral.”

    www.news.com.au/.../54cb3c3ca387906978dac42786dde939

    Turnbull desperately needs an Abbott-proof fence!

  • DoodlePoodle

    6/30/2017 8:49:42 PM |

    Another article for this topic.

    Top Stories: Probyn: Where will Abbott fit in a post-Turnbull Liberal Party?
    http://ab.co/2uq3M9k

  • Ad Astra

    7/1/2017 8:34:53 AM |

    Doodle Poodle
    Thank you for the link to Andrew Probyn's article. The journalists are well and truly aware of what Abbott is about - the destruction of Turnbull, no matter what the cost to his party. The preservation of conservative values is secondary, important though Abbott says that is.

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